The 2024 Presidential election is less than 48 hours from concluding and understandably a lot of citizens have anxiety regarding the outcome of the election. No one knows what to believe anymore with the radical news media spouting off lie after lie with no shame and continuously gaslighting the public for daring to ask questions. Well, that's not okay by us and we're here to answer your questions about where the race currently stands one day out from Election Day.
The most common question I and others at Today Is America has fielded from concerned neighbors, family, and friends is simply what is the current standing in the presidential election. Pollers and polling sites have devolved from the mathematical, non-partisan agencies of old to hyper-partisan weaponized organizations that attempt to spread doubt and misinformation to discourage one side or give hope to another.
Some polls show President Trump winning by a large margin while others show Vice President Harris having a clear path to victory. No one knows what to believe.
Here at Today Is America, we have created the three most likely outcomes of the 2024 Presidential Election and are excited to share the results with you!
This map illustrates the popular belief amongst political experts that President Trump currently holds a large lead over VP Harris. In this map, the majority of public polling comes true with Trump winning the swing states of Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada comfortably while also squeezing out close wins in the Rust Belt states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. By our calculations, this is the most likely outcome of the 2024 election.
In this scenario, President Trump still pulls the swing states North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada towards his column while a concerted effort by the Harris campaign to switch resources heavily towards Pennsylvania at the last minute rewards them with a very close victory in the important state. Wisconsin would be close but is buoyed not only by Trump’s repeated campaign events in the state but also the strong performance of Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde who has been polling ahead of incumbent Tammy Baldwin. In this potential outcome, the state of Wisconsin would determine the outcome of the 2024 election.
This is the scenario the Democrat Party has been clinging to and the news media has pointedly pushed as fact. How factual this scenario turns out to be won't be determined until after the election but if the average of public polling is to be believed, this is a pie-in-the-sky outcome. Harris would need to significantly outperform early voting totals in the important swing states as well as outperform the average of election day polling predictions. By their own admission according to Democrat Senate candidates in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Harris is polling below the Senate candidates in both states leaving a deep hole for her to dig out of in the final days. To her credit, this realization seems to be setting in as the Harris campaign shifted significant resources away from North Carolina and Georgia to flood the airwaves of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. We’ll see how that strategy plays out but by our calculations it is too little too late. Another factor to keep an eye on in this scenario is the electoral votes Nebraska gives by congressional district, specifically the two electoral votes awarded to the 2nd Congressional district currently held by Republican Don Bacon. While those two electoral votes put Harris over the top, this is a Republican seat that Biden won in 2020. By all reports, this is a lean Harris but with a Republican congressman holding the seat, it could be up in the air. If Trump manages to win the 2nd Congressional district that would leave Harris at 269, one electoral vote shy of the threshold. The Presidential election would then go to the House of Representatives which has a slim Republican majority.
